Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and now it is time for Maharashtra for Vidhan Sabha election. "Vidhan Sabha" refer to the 'Legislative Assembly' is the upper house or the sole house of the provincial legislature in the different states of India.
Maharashtra state election will be held in coming month of October or November, This Diwali surely be celebration for those parties whose going to rule Maharashtra. In this Vidhan Sabha election their are many parties in front of each others, however few are going to decide the future of state.
This chart almost explain everything, LokSabha election has created real wave of Mr.Modi and alliance. So far looking at the PM Modi strategy it looks hard for other parties to get one handed mandate in state election.
MNS(Maharashtra Navnirmaan Sena): MNS created very bad impression in loksabha election although MNS was not main racer in loksabha election however result shows that MNS has not done great to achieve more than 10 to 15 seats in State election. MNS have 5 seats from Mumbai and 3 from Nashik. So far progress done in these 8 seats by MNS is not as expected by people which in turns going to affects these mandate figure for MNS. If MNS is not able to maintain their ace Nashik and Mumbai then figure can come in single digit for MNS.
MNS will not be factor to decide state government.
INC (Indian National Congress) : INC is good so far at position and decision taken after the 2014 Lokasabha election. Sonia gandhi and Rahul Gandhi factor is not going work any more for VidhanSabha, Mr.Pruthviraj Chawan and party leaders has to run good campaign to get handful seats. In 2009 election INC has 82 seats in hand out of which 33 seats won with less than 10 thousand margin out of these 33 seats 16 seats won with less than 5 thousand margin. As consideration of Modi factor and last 5 years development done by INC government INC has to compromise on 16 to 33 seats, looking to Loksabha election these compromise figure more tend to higher side 33.
NCP (Nationalist Congress Party ): NCP is 100% one man army with captain non other than Mr.Sharad Pawar. Sharad Pawar is always father figure for farmers and has good impact in Maharashtra politics. It use to says that all sugar factories are in control of Mr.Pawar, however recently Mr.Modi decision to raise import duty on sugar and promote exports going to hammer NCP in state election. Let us have look on figures. In 2009 election NCP has 62 seats in hand out of which 21 seats won with less than 10 thousand margin out of these 6 seats won with less than 5 thousand margin. This clearly shows that NCP going downwards for this state election with lose of 6 to 21 seats. On top of all these Mr. Modi has created so far figure as farmer caring PM which going to fluctuate NCP seats downwards by 15 to 21 seats.
BJP and Siv Shena: No need to say that fluctuation to NCP and INC parties going to put more sugar in BJP and Siva Shena. 15 to 21 from NCP and 16 to 33 from INC going to be raise count of BJP and Siv Shena. 2009 state election BJP and Sena got total 90. NCP and INC fluctuation rate will take BJP and Shena to 121 to 144.
On consideration of Modi wave and good victory of BJP and alliance in Loksabha election, If people thumbs up to BJP then 144 magic figure is not hard for BJP and alliance. Same on considering the ACE of NCP and INC this is little hard for BJP to form the government in Maharashtra however good campaign and marketing strategy of BJP may take party to rule in Maharashtra.
These are just figure mentioned from past 6 month of analysis, this may increase or decrease however going to be good citizen hope good government will rule in Maharashtra irrespective of parties.
All the best to all parties !!!
Maharashtra state election will be held in coming month of October or November, This Diwali surely be celebration for those parties whose going to rule Maharashtra. In this Vidhan Sabha election their are many parties in front of each others, however few are going to decide the future of state.
MNS(Maharashtra Navnirmaan Sena): MNS created very bad impression in loksabha election although MNS was not main racer in loksabha election however result shows that MNS has not done great to achieve more than 10 to 15 seats in State election. MNS have 5 seats from Mumbai and 3 from Nashik. So far progress done in these 8 seats by MNS is not as expected by people which in turns going to affects these mandate figure for MNS. If MNS is not able to maintain their ace Nashik and Mumbai then figure can come in single digit for MNS.
MNS will not be factor to decide state government.
INC (Indian National Congress) : INC is good so far at position and decision taken after the 2014 Lokasabha election. Sonia gandhi and Rahul Gandhi factor is not going work any more for VidhanSabha, Mr.Pruthviraj Chawan and party leaders has to run good campaign to get handful seats. In 2009 election INC has 82 seats in hand out of which 33 seats won with less than 10 thousand margin out of these 33 seats 16 seats won with less than 5 thousand margin. As consideration of Modi factor and last 5 years development done by INC government INC has to compromise on 16 to 33 seats, looking to Loksabha election these compromise figure more tend to higher side 33.
NCP (Nationalist Congress Party ): NCP is 100% one man army with captain non other than Mr.Sharad Pawar. Sharad Pawar is always father figure for farmers and has good impact in Maharashtra politics. It use to says that all sugar factories are in control of Mr.Pawar, however recently Mr.Modi decision to raise import duty on sugar and promote exports going to hammer NCP in state election. Let us have look on figures. In 2009 election NCP has 62 seats in hand out of which 21 seats won with less than 10 thousand margin out of these 6 seats won with less than 5 thousand margin. This clearly shows that NCP going downwards for this state election with lose of 6 to 21 seats. On top of all these Mr. Modi has created so far figure as farmer caring PM which going to fluctuate NCP seats downwards by 15 to 21 seats.
On consideration of Modi wave and good victory of BJP and alliance in Loksabha election, If people thumbs up to BJP then 144 magic figure is not hard for BJP and alliance. Same on considering the ACE of NCP and INC this is little hard for BJP to form the government in Maharashtra however good campaign and marketing strategy of BJP may take party to rule in Maharashtra.
These are just figure mentioned from past 6 month of analysis, this may increase or decrease however going to be good citizen hope good government will rule in Maharashtra irrespective of parties.
All the best to all parties !!!
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